Most Scientific Reasons of monsoon failure on Kerala on 3rd June 2021 which no experts can explain. इस साल भारत का 𝐒. 𝐖 मानसून - मौसम वैज्ञानिक पढ़ने - समझने मे भारी भूल कर रहे हैं। या फिर मानसून धोखा दे रहा है।
Most Scientific Reasons of monsoon failure on Kerala on 3rd June 2021 which no experts can explain - It is my challenge - Dr. Ram Bajaj.
Date - 8 June 2021
Time - 11:00 A.M
Why the monsoon fails over Kerala on June 3, 2021. However, when I.M.D has forcefully declared monsoon "onset" over Kerala, the monsoon dynamics were opposite in nature on 3rd June 2021.
1. The temperature contrast between hot land. Kerala, Coastal Land, and the cold ocean were not purely perfect which was supposed to pulls (heavily) the winds from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal resulting in a westerly wind pattern that did not happen.
2. Non resulting in a westerly wind pattern due to uncertainty of pulling of winds from the Arabian Sea as well as from the Bay of Bengal which has a natural tendency to create a cyclonic circulation or deposit cyclonic velocity but did not form at all in those days May 31 to June 8, 2021. This was crucial and compulsory for moisture updraft and the formation of monsoon clouds.
3. In an actual sense monsoon clouds were not so thick and deep, which were having maximum moisture for the required rainfall over Kerala. The westerly wind flow sets up the two branches of monsoon viz Arabian Sea branch was not at all created hence monsoon failed over Kerala or does not have to have the capacity to declared monsoon "onset" over Kerala on June 3 at 2:00 p.m.
4.Simultaneously a cross-section equatorial flow i.e wind flow from the Southern Hemisphere to the Northern Hemisphere also did not help to intensify and did not aid in. This westerly burst of air is known as Somali - Jet.
5. The cyclonic circulation was never formed as to need to be set up by westerly winds within ITCZ. Since it leads to the formation of something known as monsoon through never formed at all.
6. On June 3 at 2:00 p.m 2021 monsoon entered Kerala as per official announcement from I.M.D with a non surge in the monsoon through seen from the satellite various images attached here with this "onset" monsoon has not at all covered Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Maharashtra by 10, 11 or 12 signalling the Failure of monsoon for these states please note and remember.
7. The non-surge in monsoon activity is hampered by the normal cross equational flow. Strengthing of Somali-Jet and poor possibility of low - pressure formation in Bay of Bengal before 11 June 2021. Till, these activities improve good rainfall will not be recorded at many many stations and states. Please note.
8. As per the observations and parameters there is not all seen the strengthening of westerly winds along the Kerala and the outgoing Longwave Radiations (OLR) reduces less than 200W/m sq.
9. The monsoon in Kerala has vanished.
a) Zero percent rainfall in Kerala on 3,5,6,7 and 8 June. Is it monsoon "onset".
(2) परंतु 4 जून को 12 घंटे ही - मानसून केरल पर - सिर्फ सामान्य रूप से छाया था , ध्यान देवें! बाकी दिनों में मानसून सुना ही रहा।
(3) अब आगे मानसून कहां जायेगा और मुंबई - महाराष्ट्र में मानसून "on set" कब होगा - मौसम वैज्ञानिक - जल्द ही घोषणा करें।
(4) केरल , कर्नाटक, महाराष्ट्र के किसान बड़ी बेरूख़ी से बारिश का इंतजार कर रहे हैं। मानसून समय से पहले या समय के बाद की बारिश का खेत-खलियानो पर दुष्प्रभाव पड़ना लाजमी होगा।
(5) प्रीमानसून बारिश ने पिछले सारे रिकॉर्ड तोड़ दिए है- लेकिन यह बारिश किस काम की रही - आप और हम सब जानते हैं। केरल, दिल्ली (118 mm) मुंबई, राजस्थान के कुछ भाग (अजमेर, उदयपुर, बांसवाड़ा, डूंगरगढ़ आदि), पंजाब, उत्तराखंड इसके उदाहरण है।
(6) कुछ मौसम चैनल-भोली जनता को यह सिखाने की चेष्टा कर रहे हैं कि मौसम विज्ञान एक साइंस है - यह कोई भविष्यशास्त्र नहीं है।
(7) तभी तो सभी मौसम वैज्ञानिक - यह बतलाने में फेल हो गए - थे कि भीषण तूफान निसारद, ताऊते यास का Land Fall कहाँ और कब होगा? वैज्ञानिकों ने जो बतलाया गया - वह सभी खोटा निकला। फिर वो साइंस क्या थी?
(8) मौसम वैज्ञानिक मानसून की हरि रेखा (Grees Lines) को खीचकर - मोड व घुमाव देकर - मानसून को कहाँ नही पहुँचा रहे है। मानसून रेखाओं में - घुमाओ व मोड़ - हमने भूगोल में - कहीं भी दिखने ओर सीखने को नहीं मिला। क्या मौसम वैज्ञानिकों - इन टेड़े-मेढे घुमाओ का वैज्ञानिक कारण - समझाएँगे।
Courtesy Mausam Stations and I.M.D
(9) ध्यान देवें कि केरल में जून महीने की औसतन वर्षा 370 mm होती है। 15 जून तक केरल में औसतन वर्षा 100 mm से ज्यादा होने का अनुमान नहीं है। हम सिर्फ जून महीने की बातें कर रहे हैं।
(10) कहीं केरल ओर आसपास राज्यों में सूखे की तरफ तो इशारा नहीं हो रहा है। मौसम वैज्ञानिक - जरा आकलन करे।
दिनांक - 08.06.2021
समय - 11 बजे सुबह
डॉ. राम बजाज
(Scientist)
Team member Dinesh Joshi and Raghav
Wrong estimates or deception of the weather, do not know...But your research is more correct..
ReplyDeleteVery good research sir
ReplyDeleteYou doing very well in weather forecasting which is very difficult, keep it up
ReplyDeleteExcellent forcasting even experts from imd can't predict!
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