Dr. Ram Bajaj Bikaner on Cyclone 'Yaas' (VSCS) in Bay of Bengal on 26th May 2021

Date 24 May 2021

Time 10 A.M


 Dr. Ram Bajaj Bikaner on Cyclone 'Yaas' (VSCS) in Bay of Bengal, on 26th May 2021.


Cyclonic storm 'Yaas' in Bay of Bengal will never, never be  intensified into (VSCS) - Must check their parameter before declaring cyclonic storm into (VSCS) - Learn at https://blog.rambajaj.com/                                                                                                    

तूफान  'Yaas' जो Bay of Bengal  में विकशित हो चूका हैं वह कभी भी - कभी भी (V.S.C.S) का रूप नहीं लेगा। मौसम वैज्ञानिक कृपया अपने आंकड़े दुबारा चेक कर ले। डॉ राम बजाज बीकानेर 


As per IMD -

1.  The depression over East Central Bay of Bengal moved from W.N Westwards 590km North - Northwest of Port Blair, 570km South - Southeast of Balasore (Odisha), and 650km South - Southwest of Digha (West Bengal).





2. It has been intensifying into a cyclonic storm (Yaas) by 24th May morning (Today) and further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (V.S.C.S) during the subsequent - 24 hrs - as per I.M.D. It would continue to move North - North westwards, intensify further and  reach North - West Bay of Bengal, near North Odisha and West Bengal coasts between Paradeep and Sagar Islands by evening of 26th May as  Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (V.S.C.S).


 This cyclone "Yaas" will never - never - never convert into a V.S.C.S category having a wind speed of 155 - 165 k.m.ph and gusting speed of 185 k.m.ph because of the following three major factors-

The temperature of sea surface must be in the range of 31 degree to 32 degree celsius and it must get the energy to made into a storm. Both the requirements are not being fulfilled.   

Weathermen  check the temperature of sea near the storm unusual heating of Arabian Sea (31 Degree Celsius to 32 Degree Celsius) needed. 

As per Kapadia, who runs an independent weather blog -







B. The wind speed near the storm and surrounding area of sea. The present wind speed near and around Storm is only 50 k.m.ph to 60 k.m.ph which is not sufficient to intensify the storm into a V.S.C.S. 

Please verify the speed of wind. It will not be 75 kt to 85 kt per hour in any case. The wind speed of storm has reduced to 50 - 60 k.m.ph because of the temperature of sea as well the monsoon spread out near the Port Blair on 21st May 2021.














C. The Depression pressure at the middle of storm (Eye Position). The pressure at the middle of storm in 980 bar which not is not quite - sufficient to convert storm into a V.S.C.S. मौसम तंत्र क्या ख़राब पड़े है ? I.M.D weather Instruments may have defuncted as in case of  "Radar" in Colaba at Mumbai during V.S.C.S cyclone Tauktae Report Attached. 

Please check all the parameters of the V.S.C.S before declaring "अतिभीषन भयानक तूफान " 



Courtesy -  Windy.com and News Station




Date: 24 May 2021

Time: 10 A.M  

Dr. Ram Bajaj Bikaner 

Scientist - Engineer and his team Member. Engineer Dinesh Joshi and Raghav


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