Severe cyclonic Storm " Nisarga " will be a deep depression of 75 kmph to 85 kmph speed at Bombay coast Landdfall.

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Republishing 2nd June 2020 blog for the shake of I.M.D and country for " Nisaraga " Cyclone which was only and only and only a " Deep Depression" 
                                                                                                          Dr Ram Bajaj                                                                                                                               Engineer BIT Pilani 

DR. BAJAJ - WEATHER 2020.

Severe cyclonic Storm " Nisarga " will be a deep depression of 75 kmph to 85 kmph speed at Bombay coast Landdfall.




As per the report by Purva Chitnis and edited by Swati Busin on dated 2 June 2020 at 1:28 pm I.S.T. Courtsey N.D.T.V.

Mumbai On Alert As Nisarga, City's 1st Cyclone In Over A Century, Nears

Cyclone Nisarga: On Monday, Union Home Minister Amit Shah spoke to Maharashtra Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray through video conferencing and reviewed the state's preparedness, the Chief Minister's office said.

Mumbai: 
Cyclone "Nisarga", which is headed towards the Maharashtra and Gujarat coasts, is likely to intensify into a "severe cyclonic storm" in the next 12 hours, and is expected to make landfall close to coronavirus-hit Mumbai tomorrow. This will be the second cyclone to strike India in two weeks and the first to hit the financial capital, which has logged over 41,000 coronavirus cases so far, in over a century.

It may Further intensify into a "severe cyclonic storm" in the next 24 hours, the India Meteorological Department or IMD said this morning. Mumbai and neighbouring district have been placed on high alert.

"The depression over east central Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past 06 hours intensified into a deep depression and lay centered at 0530hours IST of today, the 02nd June, 2020 over east central.

"It is very likely to move nearly northwards during next few hours, recurve north-northeastwards thereafter and cross north Maharashtra and adjoining south Gujarat coast between Harihareshwar and Daman, close to Alibag (Raigad District, Maharashtra) during the afternoon June 3 as a severe cyclonic storm with a maximum sustained wind speed of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph," the IMD statement read.
On Monday, Union Home Minister Amit Shah spoke to Maharashtra Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray through video conferencing and reviewed the state's preparedness, the Chief Minister's office said.

More than 30 teams of the National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) have been deployed in Maharashtra and Gujarat. A team of the NDRF comprises about 45 personnel.
"Gujarat has asked for five more teams. By this evening, 15 NDRF teams would be deployed in Gujarat and two are on standby. Ten teams are deployed in Maharashtra and six teams are on standby. Evacuation process and awareness drive has been initiated," NDRF chief SN Pradhan said today.

"Nisarga is a severe cyclone and we're expecting a wind speed of 90-100 kmph, which I think is negotiable. Still, as a precautionary measure, we are going to start the evacuation of people from the coastal areas of the two states (Maharashtra and Gujarat)," the NDRF chief had said yesterday.

A storm surge - as high as two metres above the astronomical tide - will inundate the low-lying coastal areas of Mumbai, Thane and Raigad districts during the landfall, the weather department has said.

Fishermen have been asked to come back from the sea and respective district collectors have been asked to ensure there is no loss of life, a statement from the Maharashtra Chief Minister's office said. Hospitals that are not treating coronavirus patients will be made available for those needing medical assistance, it added. 
The storm may cause major damage to thatched houses, huts, power and communication lines and coastal crops, the weather department has said. 
Steps are being taken to ensure there is no disruption of power supply at a time when the state is battling the coronavirus crisis and thousands of patients are undergoing treatment in various hospitals, the NDRF said on Monday. 
The tropical storm's landfall comes weeks after Cyclone Amphan killed 99 people in Bengal and affected lakhs. "The people of those states have shown remarkable courage," Prime Minister Narendra Modi said  on Sunday during his monthly radio address "Mann Ki Baat", adding, "India stands with Odisha and West Bengal". 






As per our opinion this "Nisarga" Tropical storms will neither intensified into cyclone in next 12 hours nor it will by "Severe cyclonie storms" in the next 24 hours.

However the depression over east central Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of 11 Km/hour during 6 hours and lay  centered at 5:30 IST of today, 'the 02nd June 2020 over East Central as per IMD,' this morning.

This " Deep Depressikn " will only remains deep depression and will not convert into the severe cyclone wit expecting wind speed of 90‐100 km/h.

The deep depression wind speed will be around 75 kmph to 85 km/h maximum. It may likely to be lesser than 75 km/h even. So there is no need to evacuation of people free the coastal areas of the two states Maharashtra and Gujarat this storm of 75 to 85 kmph may not cause major damage to any body expect kacha houses, huts, powerlines and communication lines on the coastal area only.

Anand Kumar Sharma Deepty Director General of the IMD should take a serious note that these Monsoon forecast never concide with the central rainfall. This year your set off monsoon on Kerala goes wrong and changes three times to misleading the country as a whole.

Your orange colour coded warning to coastal Maharashtra and Goa does not hold good this time also.

Dr Ram Bajaj
Engineer and Scientist 
Date - 20 June 2020
Time - 11:30 a.m










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